Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Deportes Tolima

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Monumental, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Fertoli H. In: Murrugarra J.
Out: Fertoli H.
61'
Sub
Gonzalez J. In: Torres Patino J. P.
Out: Gonzalez J.
64'
Sub
Alzugaray L. In: Flores E.
Out: Alzugaray L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Universitario de Deportes
22%
Draws
18%
Deportes Tolima
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportes Tolima average 0.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Universitario de Deportes's 0.38.
  • Win probability leans Universitario de Deportes's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Deportes Tolima
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportes Tolima
0:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0
Apr 27, 1983 Copa Libertadores
Deportes Tolima vs Universitario de Deportes
1:1
Mar 19, 1983 Copa Libertadores
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportes Tolima
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 68 / 100
Deportes Tolima 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Deportes Tolima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Deportes scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Universitario de Deportes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Deportes Tolima
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes

(Home)
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1
Cusco
18 Jul
AD Tarma
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0
Millonarios
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Tolima

(Away)
28 Jul
Quindio
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Junior
21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Quindio
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0
Deportes Tolima
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)