Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Monumental
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Riveros W.
57'
Santamaria A.
67'
Sub
Concha J. In: Velez J.
Out: Concha J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Universitario de Deportes
44%
Draws
20%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Universitario de Deportes have won more games recently than Deportivo Garcilaso.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Deportivo Garcilaso
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 36 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Deportivo Garcilaso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Universitario de Deportes found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Deportivo Garcilaso
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes17124129:1340
2Cusco17113329:1536
3Sporting Cristal1794429:1331
4A. Lima1794430:1931
5Cienciano1783625:2127
6Los Chankas1790821:2827
7Comerciantes Unidos1775520:2126
8FBC Melgar1767424:1725
9Deportivo Garcilaso1767420:2125
10AD Tarma1774619:2025
11Alianza Atl.1765615:1223
12Sport Huancayo1753928:2818
13Alianza Huanuco17521023:3317
14Atletico Grau1744919:2416
15Sport Boys1744914:2516
16Juan Pablo II1735913:2314
17Ayacucho17421116:2914
18Cajamarca17341016:2813
19Binacional00000:00