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Universitario de Pando vs Mariscal Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2020 game between Universitario de Pando and Mariscal Sucre finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mariscal Sucre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Universitario de Pando
6%
Draws
90%
Mariscal Sucre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mariscal Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Universitario de Pando haven't matched Mariscal Sucre's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mariscal Sucre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Universitario de Pando Clean Sheet 15%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Pando Mariscal Sucre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Pando vs Mariscal Sucre
1:2
Nov 11, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Universitario de Pando
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Pando 10 / 100
Mariscal Sucre 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Pando Mariscal Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariscal Sucre has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Pando scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Mariscal Sucre has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Pando VS Mariscal Sucre
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%

League Standings

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3Sur-Car31206:35
4Amdecar30032:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaca Diez43105:110
2Mariscal Sucre42027:56
3Universitario de Pando40132:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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3Sol Radiante32017:46
4Cerveceria30033:140
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3Ferroviario41124:74
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2Quebracho Villa Montes63129:510
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4Atletico Bermejo61057:193