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Universitario de Pando vs Pucarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Pucarani advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Universitario de Pando
15%
Draws
85%
Pucarani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pucarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pucarani haven't matched Universitario de Pando's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pucarani taking it.
  • Universitario de Pando have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pucarani, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Universitario de Pando Clean Sheet 14%
Pucarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Pando Pucarani
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 4 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pucarani vs Universitario de Pando
7:1
Aug 31, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Pando vs Pucarani
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Pando 10 / 100
Pucarani 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Pando Pucarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pucarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pucarani conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Pucarani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Universitario de Pando scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Pando VS Pucarani
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Pando

(Home)
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0
Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1
Universitario de Pando
06 Sept
Universitario de Pando
3 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
31 Aug
Universitario de Pando
0 : 1
Pucarani
Page 1 of 6

Pucarani

(Away)
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Pucarani
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1
Universitario de Pando
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams