Sport Picks

Stadium Background

University College Cork vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
O'Connor C.
13' Event
Kelly J.
21'
O'Shea K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Dundalk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University College Cork
6%
Draws
90%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of University College Cork on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dundalk taking it.
  • Dundalk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundalk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
University College Cork Clean Sheet 10%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University College Cork Dundalk
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2015 League Cup
University College Cork vs Dundalk
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University College Cork Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrett P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Connor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University College Cork 10 / 100
Dundalk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University College Cork Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dundalk let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Dundalk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: University College Cork scored in 53% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

University College Cork VS Dundalk
2 Goals Scored 1.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

University College Cork

(Home)
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
20 Jul
St. Patricks
8 : 0
University College Cork
17 May
Ringmahon Rangers
1 : 3
University College Cork
24 Jan
Cobh Ramblers
5 : 0
University College Cork
31 Jan
University College Cork
1 : 2
Midleton
Page 1 of 4

Dundalk

(Away)
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
10 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 2
Drogheda
03 Jul
Shelbourne
2 : 1
Dundalk
26 Jun
Dundalk
2 : 3
Waterford
19 Jun
Bohemians
1 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Galway United3
Finn Harps2
TBD-
Cockhill-
Longford-
TBD-
Athlone0
Bohemians3
University College Cork2
Wexford1
Limerick2
Cobh Ramblers3
Shelbourne1
Drogheda0
TBD-
Dundalk-
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
UC Dublin0
Cabinteely1
Sligo Rovers8
Mayo0
TBD-
Derry City-
Cork City-
TBD-
TBD-
Waterford-
Crumlin Utd4
Bray2
TBD-
St. Patricks-
1/8-finals
Galway United4
Cockhill2
Longford1
Bohemians3
University College Cork3
Cobh Ramblers2
Shelbourne0
Dundalk1
Shamrock Rovers2
Cabinteely0
Sligo Rovers0
Derry City2
Cork City2
Waterford0
Crumlin Utd1
St. Patricks4
Quarter-finals
Galway United1
Bohemians0
University College Cork0
Dundalk5
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City0
Cork City1
St. Patricks2
Semi-finals
Galway United1
Dundalk0
Shamrock Rovers0
St. Patricks1
Final
Galway United0
St. Patricks1