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University of Macau vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Noronha A.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between University of Macau and Monte Carlo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University of Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • University of Macau haven't matched Monte Carlo's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Monte Carlo taking it.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and University of Macau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Monte Carlo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 3.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs University of Macau
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Monte Carlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Noronha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Monte Carlo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Monte Carlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Macau found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Monte Carlo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Monte Carlo registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO981049:225
2Benfica980137:824
3Cheng Fung962118:620
4Hang Sai941416:2213
5Lun Lok941420:2813
6University of Macau941414:1813
7Monte Carlo931510:1510
8Gala921617:177
9Tak Chun Ka I910810:443
10Sporting Macau90278:392