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University of Tasmania vs New Town Eagles

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
University of Tasmania
20%
Draws
38%
New Town Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: University of Tasmania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • New Town Eagles have won more games recently than University of Tasmania.
  • Win probability leans University of Tasmania's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New Town Eagles have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%
New Town Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Tasmania New Town Eagles
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 9 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs New Town Eagles
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs New Town Eagles
1:7
Apr 5, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs University of Tasmania
5:0
Aug 3, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs New Town Eagles
0:3
May 25, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
New Town Eagles vs University of Tasmania
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Tasmania 40 / 100
New Town Eagles 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Tasmania New Town Eagles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

University of Tasmania's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

New Town Eagles has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

University of Tasmania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

University of Tasmania VS New Town Eagles
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U211391362:2028
2Olympia Warriors1391337:2028
3Hobart City1374235:2425
4New Town Eagles1365239:1723
5Clarence Zebras U211371536:3222
6Taroona1363444:1921
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania1331927:4810
9Glenorchy Knights U211322931:498
10South East United U2160066:500