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UNSW vs Blacktown City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Harb J.
4' Event
Major T.
44' Event
Mallia M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between UNSW and Blacktown City finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UNSW
40%
Draws
29%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UNSW carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
UNSW Clean Sheet 20%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Blacktown City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Blacktown City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Harb J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Major T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mallia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 32 / 100
Blacktown City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Blacktown City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSW scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Blacktown City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UNSW stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Blacktown City
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918