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UNSW vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Woods S.
83' Event
Fulton J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between UNSW and Rockdale Ilinden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
UNSW
15%
Draws
34%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNSW

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rockdale Ilinden come out ahead of UNSW on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fulton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 34 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Rockdale Ilinden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSW scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Rockdale Ilinden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Rockdale Ilinden registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Rockdale Ilinden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

Rockdale Ilinden

(Away)
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
Manly Utd
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 27 19 4 4 59:32 61
2 Marconi Stallions 27 17 4 6 47:21 55
3 Sydney Utd 26 17 3 6 37:18 54
4 Sutherland Sharks 27 13 4 10 43:34 43
5 Rockdale Ilinden 27 12 4 11 44:38 40
6 Manly Utd 27 10 8 9 33:31 38
7 SD Raiders 27 11 5 11 41:44 38
8 Sydney FC U23 27 10 7 10 35:39 37
9 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 27 10 5 12 51:43 35
10 NWS Spirit 27 10 4 13 31:37 34
11 St. George City 27 9 7 11 25:40 34
12 Wollongong 26 9 5 12 29:36 32
13 Blacktown City 27 8 7 12 40:44 31
14 UNSW 27 9 4 14 38:45 31
15 Sydney Olympic 27 6 4 17 30:58 22
16 St George Saints 27 6 3 18 25:48 21
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)