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UNSW vs Sydney Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Callaghan B.
45' Event
Harb J.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Bugarija A.

AI Match Summary

Sydney Olympic in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sydney Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UNSW
20%
Draws
64%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNSW lately — more wins on the board than Sydney Olympic.
  • Sydney Olympic are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UNSW Clean Sheet 15%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sydney Olympic
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs UNSW
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bugarija A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 15 / 100
Sydney Olympic 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Sydney Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sydney Olympic has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

UNSW's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Sydney Olympic registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Sydney Olympic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
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Sydney Olympic

(Away)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1
Marconi Stallions
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3
APIA Leichhardt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)