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UNSW vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NPL NSW The Village Green, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Ryles H.
84' Event
Lopes K.
90' Event
Harb J.

AI Match Summary

UNSW in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNSW.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UNSW
20%
Draws
38%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNSW

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • UNSW have won more games recently than Western Sydney Wanderers U21.
  • UNSW are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
UNSW Clean Sheet 14%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNSW Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs UNSW
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harb J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryles H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNSW 41 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNSW Western Sydney Wanderers U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNSW scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UNSW went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNSW VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNSW

(Home)
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5
APIA Leichhardt
12 Jul
Marconi Stallions
3 : 0
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
04 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt26193459:3260
2Marconi Stallions26174546:1855
3Sydney Utd26173637:1854
4Sutherland Sharks261331042:3342
5Rockdale Ilinden261241044:3740
6Sydney FC U23261061034:3836
7Western Sydney Wanderers U21261051151:4035
8Manly Utd2698930:3035
9SD Raiders261051138:4435
10Wollongong26951229:3632
11Blacktown City26871139:4131
12UNSW26941337:4231
13NWS Spirit26941328:3631
14St. George City26871124:4031
15St George Saints26621825:4820
16Sydney Olympic26541727:5719
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)