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UP Plasencia vs CF Trujillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between UP Plasencia and CF Trujillo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Trujillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
UP Plasencia
20%
Draws
48%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Trujillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Trujillo come out ahead of UP Plasencia on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on UP Plasencia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CF Trujillo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 20%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia CF Trujillo
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 0.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Club Friendly
CF Trujillo vs UP Plasencia
3:0
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs CF Trujillo
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs UP Plasencia
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs UP Plasencia
0:0
Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs CF Trujillo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 36 / 100
CF Trujillo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UP Plasencia's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

CF Trujillo let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

CF Trujillo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS CF Trujillo
0.4 Goals Scored 0.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)