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UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 game between UP Plasencia and Hernan Cortes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Plasencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UP Plasencia
20%
Draws
60%
Hernan Cortes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hernan Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hernan Cortes haven't matched UP Plasencia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UP Plasencia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 10%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UP Plasencia Hernan Cortes
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.39 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes
7:2
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
3:2
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Hernan Cortes
2:0
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
1:0
Feb 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs UP Plasencia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UP Plasencia 83 / 100
Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UP Plasencia Hernan Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Plasencia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UP Plasencia found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (38 games).

Hernan Cortes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 35 matches.

Difficult form: Hernan Cortes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UP Plasencia VS Hernan Cortes
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

UP Plasencia

(Home)
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
12 Aug
CF Trujillo
3 : 0
UP Plasencia
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Hernan Cortes

(Away)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villanovense 40 31 7 2 77:17 100
2 Merida UD 40 28 10 2 88:27 94
3 Jerez CF 40 29 7 4 77:21 94
4 UD Badajoz 40 29 7 4 84:17 94
5 CD Coria 40 26 9 5 81:35 87
6 Extremadura UD 40 22 8 10 78:36 74
7 Don Benito 39 15 11 13 50:35 56
8 Diter Zafra 40 14 11 15 68:60 53
9 Pueblonuevo 40 15 8 17 66:54 53
10 CD Azuaga 40 14 10 16 68:78 52
11 UP Plasencia 40 16 4 20 66:63 52
12 Atletico San Jose Promesas 40 14 10 16 48:49 52
13 Olivenza FC 40 11 13 16 38:49 46
14 Hernan Cortes 40 12 10 18 28:49 46
15 Santa Amalia 40 13 6 21 43:69 45
16 Castuera 39 11 12 16 51:66 45
17 Fuente de Cantos 40 10 11 19 48:61 41
18 Cacereno II 40 7 10 23 32:81 31
19 Miajadas 40 7 3 30 42:110 24
20 RCP Valverdeno 40 4 8 28 48:103 20
21 Ciduad de Plasencia 40 2 3 35 27:128 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)