Sport Picks
UP Plasencia vs Merida UD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Merida UD in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merida UD.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merida UD
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Merida UD have won more games recently than UP Plasencia.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Merida UD taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 17%
Merida UD Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UP Plasencia | Merida UD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 0.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs UP Plasencia
2:0
Sep 8, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Merida UD
0:1
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Merida UD
0:1
Oct 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Merida UD vs UP Plasencia
1:1
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Merida UD
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UP Plasencia 12 / 100
Merida UD 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UP Plasencia Merida UD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merida UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
UP Plasencia scored in 59% of their last 34 games.
Merida UD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.
UP Plasencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UP Plasencia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UP Plasencia
(Home) 27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0 UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2 UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0 UP Plasencia
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19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 Moralo
22 Apr
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1 Miajadas
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Merida UD
(Away) 22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
15 Jun
Merida UD
0 : 0 Langreo
08 Jun
Merida UD
1 : 1 AD San Juan
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
25 May
Merida UD
2 : 0 Real Avila
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22 Jun
Langreo
1 : 0 Merida UD
31 May
AD San Juan
0 : 1 Merida UD
18 May
Real Avila
0 : 1 Merida UD
09 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Merida UD
01 May
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 1 Merida UD
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
