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Stadium Background

UPDF FC vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Bombo Stadium, Kampala
UPDF FC Logo

UPDF FC

0 - 0
FT
Buhimba Logo

Buhimba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UPDF FC
20%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UPDF FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • UPDF FC have won more games recently than Buhimba.
  • UPDF FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
UPDF FC Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UPDF FC Buhimba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 0.72 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Buhimba
0:0
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Buhimba vs UPDF FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UPDF FC 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UPDF FC Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UPDF FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buhimba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Buhimba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: UPDF FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UPDF FC VS Buhimba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UPDF FC

(Home)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
10 Sept
Police
0 : 0
UPDF FC
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1
UPDF FC
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
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Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)