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UPDF FC vs Kataka Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Hamz Stadium, Kampala
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between UPDF FC and Kataka finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UPDF FC
30%
Draws
41%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kataka come out ahead of UPDF FC on wins alone.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on UPDF FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
UPDF FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kataka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UPDF FC Kataka
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.72 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
UPDF FC vs Kataka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UPDF FC 49 / 100
Kataka 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UPDF FC Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UPDF FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: UPDF FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

UPDF FC found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

UPDF FC VS Kataka
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UPDF FC

(Home)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
10 Sept
Police
0 : 0
UPDF FC
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1
UPDF FC
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
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Kataka

(Away)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)