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Upington City vs Venda

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Upington City in this Motsepe Foundation Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Upington City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Upington City
22%
Draws
60%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Venda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Upington City lately — more wins on the board than Venda.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Venda taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Upington City Clean Sheet 20%
Venda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upington City Venda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Venda
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Venda
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upington City 20 / 100
Venda 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upington City Venda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upington City found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Upington City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Venda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Upington City VS Venda
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kruger United30188450:3462
2Cape Town City30159645:2354
3Milford30166840:2454
4Casric Stars301410646:2752
5Hungry Lions301410641:2552
6Highbury301261230:3342
7Upington City301091135:3339
8Lerumo Lions301091136:3639
9Venda30991224:2936
10The Bees30981337:3635
11Pretoria U.308111137:4135
12Leicesterford City30971425:4334
13Gomora United30615928:3933
14Midlands Wanderers30891328:4433
15Black Leopards306101426:3828
16Baroka30481820:4320