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Upington City vs Venda Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Upington City in this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Upington City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Upington City
30%
Draws
8%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Upington City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Upington City lately — more wins on the board than Venda.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Upington City taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Upington City Clean Sheet 68%
Venda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upington City Venda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
2:3
Apr 8, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Venda
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Upington City
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Venda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upington City 95 / 100
Venda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upington City Venda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Upington City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upington City found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Venda conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Upington City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Upington City VS Venda
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Upington City

(Home)
19 Sept
Upington City
3 : 3
Pretoria U.
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Upington City
0 : 1
Highbury
29 Aug
Upington City
2 : 1
Real Native
22 Aug
NWU FC
1 : 1
Upington City
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Venda

(Away)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kruger United 30 18 8 4 50:34 62
2 Cape Town City 30 15 9 6 45:23 54
3 Milford 30 16 6 8 40:24 54
4 Real Native 30 14 10 6 46:27 52
5 Hungry Lions 30 14 10 6 41:25 52
6 Highbury 30 12 6 12 30:33 42
7 Upington City 30 10 9 11 35:33 39
8 Lerumo Lions 30 10 9 11 36:36 39
9 Venda 30 9 9 12 24:29 36
10 The Bees 30 9 8 13 37:36 35
11 Pretoria U. 30 8 11 11 37:41 35
12 Leicesterford City 30 9 7 14 25:43 34
13 Gomora United 30 6 15 9 28:39 33
14 Midlands Wanderers 30 8 9 13 28:44 33
15 Black Leopards 30 6 10 14 26:38 28
16 Baroka 30 4 8 18 20:43 20
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)