Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ural vs Yenisey

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Zheleznov Y.
15' Event
Begic S.
20'
Gyurdzhan A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Ural and Yenisey finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yenisey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ural
20%
Draws
33%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Ural and Yenisey close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Ural's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ural Yenisey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 FNL
Ural vs Yenisey
4:3
Sep 29, 2024 FNL
Yenisey vs Ural
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kharin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khashkulov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ural 86 / 100
Yenisey 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ural Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Ural found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Yenisey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Ural went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ural VS Yenisey
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ural

(Home)
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
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Yenisey

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)