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Urana vs Douanes Niamey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
Urana Logo

Urana

2 - 1
FT
Douanes Niamey Logo

Douanes Niamey

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Urana and Douanes Niamey finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Urana
35%
Draws
25%
Douanes Niamey
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Douanes Niamey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Urana a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Urana Clean Sheet 20%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urana Douanes Niamey
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Urana
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Urana
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Super Ligue
Urana vs Douanes Niamey
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Urana
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs Douanes Niamey
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urana 42 / 100
Douanes Niamey 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urana Douanes Niamey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urana found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Urana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Douanes Niamey has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Urana VS Douanes Niamey
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urana

(Home)
04 Oct
Urana
1 : 1
Sahel
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
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Douanes Niamey

(Away)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)