Sport Picks
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
Croatia
3. HNL South 
AI Match Summary
Urania Baska Voda in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urania Baska Voda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urania Baska Voda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Primorac Biograd lately — more wins on the board than Urania Baska Voda.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 17%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urania Baska Voda | Primorac Biograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2022 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
3:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Urania Baska Voda
3:0
May 30, 2021 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
2:2
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Urania Baska Voda
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urania Baska Voda 31 / 100
Primorac Biograd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urania Baska Voda Primorac Biograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Primorac Biograd let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Urania Baska Voda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Primorac Biograd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Urania Baska Voda VS Primorac Biograd
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Urania Baska Voda
(Home) 25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
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25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
24 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
2 : 0 Zagora
16 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 0 Vodice
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Primorac Biograd
(Away) 30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2 Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4 Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1 RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
23 Apr
Kamen Podbablje
2 : 2 Primorac Biograd
16 Apr
Uskok Klis
4 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
