Sport Picks
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
Croatia
3. HNL South 
AI Match Summary
Urania Baska Voda in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urania Baska Voda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Primorac Biograd lately — more wins on the board than Urania Baska Voda.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 20%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urania Baska Voda | Primorac Biograd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2022 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
3:1
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Urania Baska Voda
3:0
May 30, 2021 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Primorac Biograd
2:2
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Urania Baska Voda
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urania Baska Voda 32 / 100
Primorac Biograd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urania Baska Voda Primorac Biograd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Primorac Biograd let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Urania Baska Voda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Primorac Biograd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Urania Baska Voda VS Primorac Biograd
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Urania Baska Voda
(Home) 25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
24 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
2 : 0 Zagora
16 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 0 Vodice
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Primorac Biograd
(Away) 30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2 Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4 Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1 RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4 Primorac Biograd
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
23 Apr
Kamen Podbablje
2 : 2 Primorac Biograd
16 Apr
Uskok Klis
4 : 0 Primorac Biograd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)