Sport Picks
Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Armenia
Premier League Urartu Stadium, Yerevan 
AI Match Summary
Urartu host Ararat Yerevan in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ararat Yerevan have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Urartu have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.73. Head-to-head, Urartu have won 4 to Ararat Yerevan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Urartu to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Urartu come out ahead of Ararat Yerevan on wins alone.
- Urartu are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Urartu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urartu | Ararat Yerevan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Urartu scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Ararat Yerevan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Urartu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Urartu
(Home)Ararat Yerevan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Alashkert | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Sardarapat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Urartu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shirak Gyumri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 9 | BKMA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Van | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:21 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Gandzasar | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:17 | 2 |
