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Urartu vs FK Tosno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Trujic N.
42' Event
Dugalic R.
69' Event
Zhigulev I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2018 game between Urartu and FK Tosno finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Tosno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Urartu
15%
Draws
39%
FK Tosno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urartu come out ahead of FK Tosno on wins alone.
  • Urartu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Urartu Clean Sheet 10%
FK Tosno Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu FK Tosno
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Urartu vs FK Tosno
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urartu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Tosno Compare

Top Goalscorer Trujic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dugalic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 47 / 100
FK Tosno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu FK Tosno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FK Tosno conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Urartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urartu VS FK Tosno
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Urartu

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
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FK Tosno

(Away)
12 Aug
FK Tosno
0 : 1
Cherepovets
29 Jul
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie
0 : 3
FK Tosno
13 May
Ufa
5 : 0
FK Tosno
09 May
FK Tosno
2 : 1
Kursk
05 May
FK Tosno
1 : 2
Dynamo Moscow
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