Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urartu vs Van

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Urartu Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urartu play Van in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Urartu averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Van averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Urartu won 4, Van won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Urartu and 1.06 for Van. This points to a Urartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Urartu
15%
Draws
34%
Van
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Urartu picked up more points recently compared to Van.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Urartu Clean Sheet 22%
Van Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urartu Van
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Urartu vs Van
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Van vs Urartu
1:2
Oct 28, 2025 Armenian Cup
Urartu vs Van
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 Premier League
Van vs Urartu
0:2
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Urartu vs Van
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaloukian N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Polyakov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Van Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urartu 50 / 100
Van 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urartu Van

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Urartu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Urartu attacking → ← attacking Van

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urartu scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Van let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Urartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Van lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 35
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113