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Urawa Reds vs Chiba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Saitama Stadium, Saitama
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urawa Reds host Chiba in the J1 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Urawa Reds at 1.68 goals for, 1.68 against; Chiba at 1.07 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Urawa Reds slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.56, favoring Urawa Reds. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Urawa Reds
20%
Draws
15%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urawa Reds lately — more wins on the board than Chiba.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Urawa Reds taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Urawa Reds have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 15%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urawa Reds Chiba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Chiba
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
0:2
Oct 3, 2009 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Chiba
3:1
Apr 25, 2009 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
0:1
Oct 5, 2008 J1 League
Chiba vs Urawa Reds
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urawa Reds 66 / 100
Chiba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urawa Reds Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urawa Reds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Urawa Reds scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Chiba has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Urawa Reds has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Urawa Reds VS Chiba
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urawa Reds

(Home)
10 Oct
FC Tokyo
3 : 0
Urawa Reds
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Omiya Ardija
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
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Chiba

(Away)
11 Oct
Chiba
1 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 9 6 2 1 22:6 20
3 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
4 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 9 3 4 2 17:14 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 4 1 4 8:9 13
11 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
12 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
13 Mito 9 2 3 4 12:13 9
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Nagoya Grampus 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
16 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Chiba 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
20 Verdy 9 0 4 5 4:14 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)