Sport Picks
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo
Japan
J1 League 2026 Saitama Stadium, Saitama 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Onaiwu A. In: Komori H.
Out: Onaiwu A.
46'
46'
Sub
Matheus S. In: Abe H.
Out: Matheus S.
62'
62'
Sub
Hayakawa J. In: Matsuo Y.
Out: Hayakawa J.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League 2026 game between Urawa Reds and FC Tokyo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tokyo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Tokyo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors FC Tokyo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 17%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urawa Reds | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Emperors Cup
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds
3:2
May 17, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urawa Reds 36 / 100
FC Tokyo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urawa Reds FC Tokyo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Urawa Reds scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
FC Tokyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Urawa Reds has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Urawa Reds VS FC Tokyo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Urawa Reds
(Home) 21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
31 May
Okayama
1 : 1 Urawa Reds
22 May
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
06 Jun
Urawa Reds
0 : 2 Okayama
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1 FC Tokyo
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
29 Apr
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 4
FC Tokyo
(Away) 21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1 Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3 Cerezo Osaka
30 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
23 May
Kashima Antlers
1 : 0 FC Tokyo
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
23 May
Kashima Antlers
1 : 0 FC Tokyo
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Apr
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3 FC Tokyo
11 Apr
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 3 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)