Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urberach vs Kelsterbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kelsterbach in this Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelsterbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urberach
15%
Draws
85%
Kelsterbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelsterbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kelsterbach have won more games recently than Urberach.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kelsterbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Urberach Clean Sheet 16%
Kelsterbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urberach Kelsterbach
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Urberach vs Kelsterbach
1:2
Oct 15, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Kelsterbach vs Urberach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urberach 23 / 100
Kelsterbach 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urberach Kelsterbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kelsterbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelsterbach conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Kelsterbach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Urberach found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Urberach VS Kelsterbach
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urberach

(Home)
20 May
Urberach
0 : 2
Stadtallendorf
13 May
SV Steinbach
5 : 0
Urberach
06 May
Urberach
1 : 2
Ederbergland
22 Apr
Urberach
1 : 2
Kelsterbach
17 Apr
Alzenau
4 : 1
Urberach
Page 1 of 6

Kelsterbach

(Away)
20 May
Kelsterbach
3 : 6
Ederbergland
06 May
Hadamar
4 : 1
Kelsterbach
29 Apr
Kelsterbach
2 : 4
Alzenau
22 Apr
Urberach
1 : 2
Kelsterbach
12 Apr
Kelsterbach
3 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 22 4 6 89:34 70
2 Stadtallendorf 32 22 3 7 83:46 69
3 RW Frankfurt 32 20 6 6 90:45 66
4 Alzenau 32 19 7 6 87:49 64
5 Fulda 32 16 10 6 66:35 58
6 Hadamar 32 16 6 10 63:48 54
7 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 13 10 9 59:54 49
8 Sportfreunde Seligenstadt 32 12 8 12 57:45 44
9 Baunatal 32 11 8 13 60:53 41
10 Vellmar 32 12 5 15 49:70 41
11 Lohfelden 32 10 11 11 49:52 41
12 Ederbergland 32 12 2 18 52:76 38
13 Viktoria Griesheim 32 11 5 16 40:60 38
14 SV Steinbach 32 10 6 16 62:94 36
15 SKV Darmstadt 32 7 2 23 41:87 23
16 Kelsterbach 32 6 4 22 39:77 21
17 Urberach 32 2 5 25 24:85 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)