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Urena vs Atletico El Vigia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Duarte B.

AI Match Summary

Atletico El Vigia in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico El Vigia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Urena
35%
Draws
45%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico El Vigia have won more games recently than Urena.
  • Model gives Atletico El Vigia a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Urena Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urena Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
0:1
May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Urena
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urena 10 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urena Atletico El Vigia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urena scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Atletico El Vigia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Urena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Urena VS Atletico El Vigia
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Urena

(Home)
07 Oct
Urena
2 : 2
Trujillanos
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
20 Sept
Urena
0 : 3
Zamora 2
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
Page 1 of 6

Atletico El Vigia

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 29 15 8 6 52:32 53
3 Yaracuyanos 29 13 7 9 41:28 46
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 24 2 10 12 13:31 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)