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Urena vs Lara

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Roudette Gregory K.
59'

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Urena and Lara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Urena
15%
Draws
58%
Lara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lara come out ahead of Urena on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Urena Clean Sheet 15%
Lara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urena Lara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.48 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Urena vs Lara
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Lara vs Urena
2:3
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Urena vs Lara
0:0
Jul 17, 2016 Liga FUTVE
Lara vs Urena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lara Compare

Top Goalscorer Roudette Gregory K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urena 19 / 100
Lara 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urena Lara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urena's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Urena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lara let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Urena VS Lara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Urena

(Home)
17 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
2 : 3
Urena
13 Sept
Urena
1 : 0
Real Frontera
09 Sept
Urena
0 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1
Lara
02 Sept
Yaracuyanos
4 : 3
Urena
Page 1 of 6

Lara

(Away)
16 Sept
Lara
3 : 0
Atletico El Vigia
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
06 Sept
Urena
0 : 1
Lara
02 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 27 18 6 3 46:20 60
2 Barquisimeto 26 13 8 5 45:27 47
3 Urena 26 12 9 5 41:28 45
4 Yaracuyanos 26 10 7 9 31:27 37
5 Zamora 2 25 9 7 9 37:35 34
6 Academia Puerto Cabello B 26 8 6 12 33:36 30
7 Atletico El Vigia 26 8 6 12 28:43 30
8 Atletico Barinas 26 8 4 14 45:55 28
9 Real Frontera 26 3 3 20 21:56 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 22 12 6 4 37:23 42
2 Deportivo Miranda 22 11 5 6 26:18 38
3 Bolivar 22 11 3 8 27:25 36
4 Aragua 22 9 8 5 24:16 35
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 21 6 7 8 23:24 25
6 Mineros 22 4 8 10 25:29 20
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 21 2 10 9 12:24 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)