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Urgatzi vs SCD Durango Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SCD Durango in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urgatzi
30%
Draws
70%
SCD Durango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SCD Durango lately — more wins on the board than Urgatzi.
  • Win probability leans SCD Durango's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 20%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urgatzi SCD Durango
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 12
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.53 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Urgatzi
1:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs SCD Durango
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urgatzi 10 / 100
SCD Durango 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urgatzi SCD Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SCD Durango conceded in 69% of 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Urgatzi's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SCD Durango's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Durango
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Urgatzi

(Home)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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SCD Durango

(Away)
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
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