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Urgatzi vs Sodupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Urgatzi and Sodupe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sodupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Urgatzi
20%
Draws
80%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sodupe come out ahead of Urgatzi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sodupe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 10%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urgatzi Sodupe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 0.53 1
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Sodupe
1:2
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Urgatzi
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urgatzi 10 / 100
Sodupe 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urgatzi Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sodupe let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Urgatzi scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Sodupe's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Urgatzi VS Sodupe
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Urgatzi

(Home)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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Sodupe

(Away)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
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