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Uritarra vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Uritarra Logo

Uritarra

2 - 3
FT
Barakaldo Logo

Barakaldo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Barakaldo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barakaldo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Uritarra
20%
Draws
29%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uritarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Uritarra haven't matched Barakaldo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uritarra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Uritarra Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uritarra Barakaldo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Uritarra vs Barakaldo
2:3
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Barakaldo vs Uritarra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uritarra 77 / 100
Barakaldo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uritarra Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uritarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Uritarra scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Barakaldo conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Uritarra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barakaldo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uritarra

(Home)
30 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
23 Apr
CD Vitoria
1 : 0
Uritarra
13 Apr
Uritarra
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
09 Apr
Pasaia
0 : 2
Uritarra
02 Apr
Uritarra
2 : 3
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Barakaldo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)