Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Nagel L.
70'
70'
Brands R. J.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Schraal L.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between Urk and Ter Leede finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Urk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ter Leede
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ter Leede come out ahead of Urk on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Ter Leede taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Urk Clean Sheet 15%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urk | Ter Leede |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.78 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Ter Leede
3:0
Oct 8, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs Urk
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Urk Compare
Top Goalscorer Nagel L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schraal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Ter Leede Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urk 27 / 100
Ter Leede 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urk Ter Leede
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ter Leede Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ter Leede conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Urk found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Urk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Urk VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Urk
(Home) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
18 Apr
Urk
3 : 3 Huizen
28 Mar
Urk
4 : 5 Sparta Nijkerk
14 Mar
Urk
4 : 0 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 3
Ter Leede
(Away) 13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Ter Leede
27 Jul
Ter Leede
3 : 1 VV Noordwijk
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2 Ter Leede
20 May
Ter Leede
1 : 2 Barendrecht
13 May
Ter Leede
1 : 0 ASWH
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Ter Leede
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2 Ter Leede
06 May
Rijnvogels
1 : 0 Ter Leede
15 Apr
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 1 Ter Leede
01 Apr
Urk
3 : 0 Ter Leede
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 71:33 | 75 |
| 2 | GVVV | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 77:40 | 69 |
| 3 | SteDoCo | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 59:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 64:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Barendrecht | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 71:54 | 55 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:50 | 53 |
| 7 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 71:72 | 50 |
| 10 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 51:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Staphorst | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Urk | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 62:76 | 42 |
| 13 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:56 | 38 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 52:72 | 36 |
| 15 | VVOG | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 49:71 | 35 |
| 16 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 47:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Ter Leede | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 50:65 | 33 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25:61 | 27 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 85:37 | 84 |
| 2 | VVSB | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 87:52 | 71 |
| 3 | USV Hercules | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53:45 | 55 |
| 5 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58:56 | 54 |
| 6 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:42 | 51 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 55:41 | 49 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 68:56 | 49 |
| 9 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 59:47 | 49 |
| 10 | DEM | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 58:53 | 48 |
| 11 | Gemert | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 52:59 | 47 |
| 12 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42:44 | 43 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:59 | 36 |
| 15 | Watergraafsmeer | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:80 | 32 |
| 16 | Baronie | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 44:70 | 28 |
| 17 | Dongen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:77 | 25 |
| 18 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 26:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
