Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Urkut vs Csesztreg

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Csesztreg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Urkut
15%
Draws
42%
Csesztreg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urkut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urkut come out ahead of Csesztreg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Urkut's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Urkut have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Csesztreg, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Urkut Clean Sheet 10%
Csesztreg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urkut Csesztreg
Matches Played 10 7
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.8 3.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Urkut vs Csesztreg
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urkut 65 / 100
Csesztreg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urkut Csesztreg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urkut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Csesztreg conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Urkut scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Csesztreg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urkut VS Csesztreg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.86
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Urkut

(Home)
02 Aug
Mori SE
4 : 0
Urkut
03 Aug
Urkut
2 : 4
Csesztreg
26 Aug
Zsambek
3 : 0
Urkut
06 Aug
Urkut
2 : 1
Zalaszentgroti
28 Aug
Urkut
1 : 4
III. Keruleti TVE
Page 1 of 2

Csesztreg

(Away)
03 Aug
Csesztreg
0 : 6
VSC Veszprem
24 Aug
Csesztreg
1 : 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE
03 Aug
Urkut
2 : 4
Csesztreg
09 Aug
Csesztreg
2 : 3
Haladas VSE
08 Aug
Mori SE
7 : 3
Csesztreg
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Zalalovoi 0
Vitnyed 0
Balatonfuredi 3
Babolnai 1
Sopron 16
VSC Veszprem 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Diosjeno 1
MVSC 4
Eger 2
Senyo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
Rabatotfalui 0
Zalaszentgroti 6
Balatonalmadi 3
Haladas 0
Gyorszentivan 2
Papai Perutz 4
Kiraly SE 0
Mori SE 1
Nagybajom 2
Mohacsi 3
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Bicskei 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Peti 1
Kelen 2
Himeshaza 0
Szekszardi 12
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Szakonyfalu 0
Mezoors 22
Sopte 0
Abda 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 5
Baktaloranthaza 0
Hehalom 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 3
Diosdi TC 0
Dunaujvaros 3
Unione 1
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Pecsvarad 0
Somogysard 3
Kakasd 0
Pecsi MFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Maklar 1
Ujfeherto 3
Gesztely 0
Hatvan FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Bonyhad 0
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Gardony Varosi 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Algyo SK 0
OMTK-ULE 1
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Ustokos Bacsa 0
Koronco 4
Nyergesujfalu 0
Haladas VSE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Hajdunanas 0
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Vizslasi 0
Putnok VSE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Urkut 2
Csesztreg 4
Teskand 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE 9
Sarbogard 1
Budaorsi SC 2
Harkany SE 1
Majosi 5
Inter 04 2
Patka 4
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 0
Kaposvar 2
Karancslapujto 2
Hajdusamsoni 1
Hidasnemeti 0
Tiszafuredi 19
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Nyiradony 2
Godollo 3
Tallya 0
Cigand SE 3
Bakonycsernye 1
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Tihanyi 2
Csornai 3
Nagyatadi 3
Siofok 0
Erdi 2
Dunafoldvar 0
Bode 0
Vep VSE 6
Labatlani 0
Dorogi FC 5
Sarospataki TC 1
Monostorpalyi 5
Lorinci 0
Debreceni EAC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Cegledi 1
Csepel 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 5
Torokszentmiklos 0
Pilisi 1
Martfui LSE 3
Kalocsai FC 0
Tiszasziget 2
FC Dabas 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Szegedi 0
BKV Elore 2
Gyomaendrodi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szajol 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Monori 1
Penzugyor SE 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Gyongyosi 0
Fuzesabony 2
Borsod SK 1
Tiszaujvaros 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 4
Lajosmizsei 2
REAC 0
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Nagyecsed 0
Tarpa 1
Nyirbator 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Harta SE 6
Fuzesgyarmati 0
Janoshalmi 4
Kunbaja 0
Marcali 2
Ercsi 3
Bolyi 1
Ivancsa 4
Duna SK 3
Korosladany MSK 0
Sandorfalvi 2
Tiszakecske 4
1/64-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Balatonfuredi 0
Sopron 2
VSC Veszprem 1
MVSC 2
Eger 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
Zalaszentgroti 0
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 5
Mori SE 2
Mohacsi 0
III. Keruleti TVE 3
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Kelen 2
Szekszardi 0
TBD -
Honved -
Mezoors 2
Abda 0
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 1
Dunaujvaros 11
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Somogysard 1
Pecsi MFC 9
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Ujfeherto 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Koronco 2
Haladas VSE 4
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Putnok VSE 1
TBD -
Gyor -
Csesztreg 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 2
Budaorsi SC 3
Majosi 2
Patka 2
Kaposvar 9
Karancslapujto 1
Tiszafuredi 4
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Godollo 1
Cigand SE 0
Bakonycsernye 1
Csornai 9
Nagyatadi 1
Erdi 3
Vep VSE 1
Dorogi FC 3
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 3
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 4
Csepel 2
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 2
Martfui LSE 1
Tiszasziget 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Monori 3
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Fuzesabony 1
Tiszaujvaros 0
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Tarpa 2
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Harta SE 3
Janoshalmi 2
Ercsi 2
Ivancsa 7
Duna SK 0
Tiszakecske 15
1/32-finals
Sarvari FC 0
Sopron 2
Eger 0
Soroksar 4
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Csakvari 1
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Debrecen 4
Kelen 1
Honved 5
Mezoors 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 6
Dunaujvaros 0
Kozarmisleny SE 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Pecsi MFC 3
Szentlorinc SE 4
Hatvan FC 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Nagykanizsa FC 2
Ajka 3
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Testveriseg 0
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 0
Puskas Academy 7
Putnok VSE 2
Gyor 6
Mosonmagyarovari TE 3
Budaorsi SC 2
Kaposvar 1
Tiszafuredi 2
Budafoki MTE 0
Ferencvaros 3
Godollo 2
Csornai 1
Erdi 0
Dorogi FC 1
Debreceni EAC 0
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Femalk-Dunavarsany 0
Ujpest 7
1908 SZAC KSE 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 5
Monori 0
Videoton 2
Kazincbarcika 2
DVTK 4
Fuzesabony 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Hodmezovasarhely 0
MTK Budapest 2
Tarpa 5
Harta SE 0
Ivancsa 4
Tiszakecske 0
1/16-finals
Sopron 3
Soroksar 2
Balatonalmadi 0
Kisvarda FC 4
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Debrecen 0
Honved 1
Paks 5
Karcagi 1
Kecskemeti TE 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Ajka 3
Nyiregyhaza 4
Tatabanya 2
Puskas Academy 3
Gyor 3
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Ferencvaros 2
Godollo 1
Dorogi FC 2
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Ujpest 1
ESMTK Budapest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Videoton 2
DVTK 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
MTK Budapest 3
Tarpa 0
Ivancsa 5
1/8-finals
Sopron 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 1
Puskas Academy 0
Gyor 3
Ferencvaros 4
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 2
Ivancsa 0
Quarter-finals
Kisvarda FC 0
Paks 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 1
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 4
Semi-finals
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 1
Ferencvaros 3
MTK Budapest 1
Final
Paks 2
Ferencvaros 1