Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023

Ursus Warszawa

0 - 2

Legia II

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Mozdzen M.

90'

Kieras S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Legia II in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Ursus Warszawa

22%

Draws

60%

Legia II

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Legia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Legia II lately — more wins on the board than Ursus Warszawa.
60% — that's where the model lands on Legia II taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 15%

Legia II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ursus Warszawa	Legia II
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	5	28
Draws	6	7
Losses	19	4
Goals Scored	0	2
Goals Conceded	0	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Legia II

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Aug 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Legia II vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Legia II vs Ursus Warszawa

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Oct 23, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Legia II

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:4

Oct 17, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Ursus Warszawa vs Legia II

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozdzen M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kieras S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 19 / 100

Legia II 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ursus Warszawa Legia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ursus Warszawa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ursus Warszawa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Legia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Legia II

0 Goals Scored 2

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	LKS Lodz II	34	20	8	6	76:41	68
2	Legionowo	34	18	10	6	71:43	64
3	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	18	10	6	62:39	64
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	18	7	9	66:45	61
5	Legia II	34	15	10	9	66:48	55
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
7	Unia Skierniewice	34	15	8	11	41:38	53
8	MKS Mlawa	34	15	7	12	83:71	52
9	Jagiellonia II	34	13	10	11	65:54	49
10	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	12	9	13	53:55	45
11	Pelikan	34	12	9	13	56:52	45
12	Sokol Ostroda	34	10	6	18	49:71	36
13	Olimpia Zambrow	34	9	9	16	40:63	36
14	Bron Radom	34	9	8	17	60:76	35
15	Warta Sieradz	34	8	10	16	39:53	34
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	9	17	38:61	33
17	Blonianka Blonie	34	8	6	20	35:68	30
18	Ursus Warszawa	34	5	10	19	42:72	25