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Ursus Warszawa vs Mszczonowianka Mszczonow

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Ursus Warszawa and Mszczonowianka Mszczonow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ursus Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ursus Warszawa
17%
Draws
13%
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ursus Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ursus Warszawa come out ahead of Mszczonowianka Mszczonow on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ursus Warszawa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 14%
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ursus Warszawa Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 5 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Ursus Warszawa vs Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ursus Warszawa 66 / 100
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ursus Warszawa Mszczonowianka Mszczonow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ursus Warszawa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ursus Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ursus Warszawa VS Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ursus Warszawa

(Home)
15 Feb
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1
Ursus Warszawa
08 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
4 : 1
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
01 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
2 : 6
Victoria Sulejowek
20 Jul
LKS Lomza
0 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
17 Feb
Warta Sieradz
2 : 0
Ursus Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

Mszczonowianka Mszczonow

(Away)
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 0
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
08 Feb
Ursus Warszawa
4 : 1
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
17 Jul
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
0 : 7
Unia Skierniewice
26 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 4
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow
11 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
1 : 1
Mszczonowianka Mszczonow