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URT vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Henan
48' Event
Henan

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between URT and Caldense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
URT
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • URT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on URT taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors URT here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
URT Clean Sheet 20%
Caldense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Caldense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.06 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs URT
0:1
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Caldense
2:0
Jun 16, 2024 Mineiro 2
URT vs Caldense
3:2
May 11, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs URT
0:1
Jun 18, 2022 Serie D
URT vs Caldense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Henan
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caldense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 67 / 100
Caldense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Caldense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: URT scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Caldense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

URT VS Caldense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

URT

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)