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URT vs Nacional MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

URT in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored URT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
URT
33%
Draws
27%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • URT have won more games recently than Nacional MG.
  • URT are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nacional MG have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
URT Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric URT Nacional MG
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Mineiro
Nacional MG vs URT
2:0
Apr 18, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs URT
4:3
Apr 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
URT vs Nacional MG
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

URT 40 / 100
Nacional MG 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
URT Nacional MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

URT scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Nacional MG conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Nacional MG has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

URT VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%