Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruacu vs Rio Verde

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Daniel Costa
12' Event
Emerson Machado
20' Event
Junior A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Rio Verde in this Goiano 3 2024 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Uruacu
35%
Draws
37%
Rio Verde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Verde have won more games recently than Uruacu.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rio Verde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Verde, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rio Verde here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Uruacu Clean Sheet 17%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruacu Rio Verde
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 12
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Goiano 3
Uruacu vs Rio Verde
2:4
Sep 29, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Uruacu
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Uruacu
3:3
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano 3
Uruacu vs Rio Verde
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruacu Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Costa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruacu 31 / 100
Rio Verde 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruacu Rio Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruacu scored in 88% of their last 8 games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Uruacu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rio Verde has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Verde
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruacu

(Home)
12 Oct
Uruacu
2 : 4
Rio Verde
29 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 0
Uruacu
21 Sept
Uruacu
3 : 2
Pires do Rio
15 Sept
Rio Verde
3 : 3
Uruacu
07 Sept
Uruacu
4 : 1
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 2

Rio Verde

(Away)
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
05 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Mineiros
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City 2
Mineiros 1
Rio Verde 6
Uruacu 2
Itumbiara 3
Aparecida EC 2
Bela Vista FC 1
Tupy FC 4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City 0
Rio Verde 6
Itumbiara 1
Tupy FC 5
Final
Rio Verde 4
Tupy FC 3