Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U17 vs Chile U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Ameliano, Villeta
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Marinetti N.
45' Event
Soares de Lima A.
Assist: Rodriguez F.
52' Event
Riveros A.

AI Match Summary

Chile U17 in this South American Championship U17 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uruguay U17
20%
Draws
38%
Chile U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uruguay U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Uruguay U17 haven't matched Chile U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uruguay U17's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Chile U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chile U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chile U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uruguay U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Chile U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 Chile U17
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Chile U17
2:3
Apr 3, 2026 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Chile U17
1:1
Apr 3, 2023 South American Championship U17
Chile U17 vs Uruguay U17
2:0
Jul 28, 2022 Friendly International
Uruguay U17 vs Chile U17
0:2
Apr 11, 2019 South American Championship U17
Uruguay U17 vs Chile U17
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares de Lima A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chile U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 42 / 100
Chile U17 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 Chile U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U17 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Chile U17 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Uruguay U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U17 VS Chile U17
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Uruguay U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
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Chile U17

(Away)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
07 Apr
Colombia U17
1 : 0
Chile U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Uruguay U172
Chile U173
Venezuela U171
Bolivia U170
Semi-finals
Uruguay U173
Venezuela U170
Bolivia U170
Chile U174