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Uruguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Alvarez A.
Assist: Figueroa A.
18' Event
Storace J.
90' Event
Guedes I.
Assist: Vazquez M.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship Women U17 2024 game between Uruguay U17 W and Chile U17 W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uruguay U17 W
20%
Draws
40%
Chile U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uruguay U17 W haven't matched Chile U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Uruguay U17 W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U17 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Uruguay U17 W Clean Sheet 11%
Chile U17 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U17 W Chile U17 W
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 7 19
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Uruguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Uruguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:4
Mar 15, 2024 South American Championship Women U17
Uruguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
2:1
Mar 7, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Uruguay U17 W
1:1
Mar 17, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Uruguay U17 W vs Chile U17 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Storace J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guedes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Chile U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U17 W 40 / 100
Chile U17 W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U17 W Chile U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uruguay U17 W scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Chile U17 W conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Chile U17 W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U17 W VS Chile U17 W
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U17 W

(Home)
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
2 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
27 Apr
Uruguay U17 W
3 : 5
Brazil U17 W
25 Apr
Uruguay U17 W
3 : 0
Peru U17 W
29 Mar
Uruguay U17 W
1 : 2
Argentina U17 W
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Chile U17 W

(Away)
17 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 0
Chile U17 W
14 Aug
Chile U17 W
0 : 3
Canada U17 W
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
06 May
Brazil U17 W
3 : 2
Chile U17 W
03 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 2
Argentina U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U17 W 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
2 Ecuador U17 W 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
3 Uruguay U17 W 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
4 Chile U17 W 4 2 0 2 11:4 6
5 Bolivia U17 W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 2024 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 W 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Colombia U17 W 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
3 Argentina U17 W 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
4 Peru U17 W 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Venezuela U17 W 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 2024 (Final Group)