Sport Picks

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Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Machado R.
14' Event
Pacifico P.
Assist: Peralta M.
27'
Sub
Amasifuen N. In: Lora F.
Out: Amasifuen N.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U20 game between Uruguay U20 and Peru U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uruguay U20
20%
Draws
40%
Peru U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uruguay U20 come out ahead of Peru U20 on wins alone.
  • Uruguay U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uruguay U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U20 Peru U20
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 3
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.65 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Uruguay U20
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 South American Championship U20
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
2:0
Nov 14, 2024 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
0:0
Nov 12, 2024 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 South American Games U19
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pacifico P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Peru U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U20 36 / 100
Peru U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U20 Peru U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Uruguay U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Difficult form: Peru U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U20 VS Peru U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
16 Feb
Uruguay U20
1 : 3
Colombia U20
13 Feb
Paraguay U20
1 : 0
Uruguay U20
11 Feb
Chile U20
1 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

Peru U20

(Away)
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
29 Jan
Uruguay U20
2 : 0
Peru U20
27 Jan
Chile U20
3 : 2
Peru U20
25 Jan
Peru U20
0 : 4
Venezuela U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)