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Uruguay U20 W vs Peru U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gherson V.
Assist: Ruiz B.
84' Event
Ruiz B.
Assist: Leon M.
90' Event
Cola A.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship Women U20 2024 game between Uruguay U20 W and Peru U20 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peru U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uruguay U20 W
15%
Draws
42%
Peru U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uruguay U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Peru U20 W haven't matched Uruguay U20 W's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Uruguay U20 W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U20 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uruguay U20 W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Uruguay U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U20 W Peru U20 W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.55 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Peru U20 W
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Peru U20 W
6:0
Jan 20, 2012 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Peru U20 W
2:1
Mar 4, 2010 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Peru U20 W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cola A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Peru U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gherson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U20 W 85 / 100
Peru U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U20 W Peru U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Uruguay U20 W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Peru U20 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U20 W VS Peru U20 W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U20 W

(Home)
23 Sept
Paraguay U20 W
1 : 2
Uruguay U20 W
20 Sept
Venezuela U20 W
1 : 0
Uruguay U20 W
18 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U20 W
16 Sept
Uruguay U20 W
1 : 3
Chile U20 W
10 Sept
Chile U20 W
2 : 1
Uruguay U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Peru U20 W

(Away)
13 Feb
Peru U20 W
0 : 4
Ecuador U20 W
11 Feb
Peru U20 W
0 : 6
Brazil U20 W
09 Feb
Argentina U20 W
4 : 0
Peru U20 W
05 Feb
Bolivia U20 W
0 : 2
Peru U20 W
14 Nov
Chile U20 W
2 : 0
Peru U20 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraguay U20 W 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
2 Peru U20 W 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Argentina U20 W 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
4 Ecuador U20 W 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
5 Uruguay U20 W 4 0 0 4 3:7 0
Promotion - South American Championship Women U20 2024 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 W 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Brazil U20 W 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Venezuela U20 W 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Chile U20 W 4 1 0 3 2:8 3
5 Bolivia U20 W 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - South American Championship Women U20 2024 (Final Group)