Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U23 vs Colombia U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Wed, Nov 1, 2023
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
O'Neill Lopez J. S.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Palacios Alzate B.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Nandin D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uruguay U23
15%
Draws
36%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uruguay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Uruguay U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uruguay U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Uruguay U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2023 Pan American Games
Uruguay U23 vs Colombia U23
1:0
Feb 9, 2020 Olympic Games
Colombia U23 vs Uruguay U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U23 68 / 100
Colombia U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U23 Colombia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U23 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Uruguay U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Colombia U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U23 VS Colombia U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

Colombia U23

(Away)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Uruguay U23 1
Colombia U23 0
Dominican Republic U23 1
Honduras U23 3