Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rodriguez E.

AI Match Summary

The Pan American Games game between Uruguay U23 and Dominican Republic U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uruguay U23
15%
Draws
36%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uruguay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominican Republic U23 haven't matched Uruguay U23's recent run of results.
  • Uruguay U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 11 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2023 Pan American Games
Uruguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay U23 95 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay U23 Dominican Republic U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 16 matches.

Uruguay U23 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Dominican Republic U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay U23 VS Dominican Republic U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
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Dominican Republic U23

(Away)
20 Feb
Dominican Republic U23
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
11 Jul
France U23
7 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
26 Mar
Paraguay U23
1 : 2
Dominican Republic U23
23 Mar
Paraguay U23
2 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U23 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Mexico U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Uruguay U23 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Colombia U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Honduras U23 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)