Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay vs Colombia

South America South America

Copa América Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
de la Cruz N.
31'
Munoz D.
34'
Sub
Bentancur R. In: Varela G.
Out: Bentancur R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Uruguay
35%
Draws
46%
Colombia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia have won more games recently than Uruguay.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Colombia taking it.
  • Colombia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Uruguay Clean Sheet 16%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay Colombia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 World Championship
Uruguay vs Colombia
3:2
Jul 11, 2024 Copa América
Uruguay vs Colombia
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Colombia vs Uruguay
2:2
Oct 7, 2021 World Championship
Uruguay vs Colombia
0:0
Jul 3, 2021 Copa América
Uruguay vs Colombia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay 10 / 100
Colombia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay Colombia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Uruguay remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Uruguay's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colombia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay VS Colombia
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay

(Home)
27 Jun
Uruguay
0 : 1
Spain
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
31 Mar
Algeria
0 : 0
Uruguay
27 Mar
England
1 : 1
Uruguay
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Colombia

(Away)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentina 2
Ecuador 1
Venezuela 1
Canada 2
Uruguay 1
Brazil 0
Colombia 5
Panama 0
Semi-finals
Argentina 2
Canada 0
Uruguay 0
Colombia 1
Final
Argentina 1
Colombia 0
Canada 2
Uruguay 3