Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uruguay W vs Venezuela W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Lemos S. In: Paz A.
Out: Lemos S.
53' Event
Gonzalez P.
Assist: Aquino B.
57'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Moreno L.
Out: Rodriguez D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Uruguay W
15%
Draws
59%
Venezuela W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezuela W lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay W.
  • Win probability leans Venezuela W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%
Venezuela W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uruguay W Venezuela W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W
1:1
Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Uruguay W
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Uruguay W
1:0
Jul 9, 2022 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W
0:1
Sep 11, 2014 Copa América Women
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Venezuela W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uruguay W 18 / 100
Venezuela W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uruguay W Venezuela W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uruguay W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Venezuela W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Uruguay W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uruguay W VS Venezuela W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uruguay W

(Home)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
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Venezuela W

(Away)
06 Aug
Venezuela W
1 : 2
El Salvador W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Dominican Republic W
0 : 1
Venezuela W
31 Jul
Venezuela W
2 : 0
El Salvador W
29 Jul
Costa Rica W
0 : 3
Venezuela W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)