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Urumajo vs Paragominas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Urumajo Logo

Urumajo

2 - 0
FT
Paragominas Logo

Paragominas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Urumajo in this Paraense A2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urumajo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Urumajo
20%
Draws
28%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paragominas have won more games recently than Urumajo.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Urumajo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 19%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urumajo Paragominas
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
2:2
May 17, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
3:1
Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urumajo 67 / 100
Paragominas 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urumajo Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urumajo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Solid form: Urumajo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Paragominas conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Urumajo VS Paragominas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urumajo

(Home)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)