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Urumajo vs Paragominas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Urumajo host Paragominas in the Paraense A2 2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Urumajo at 1.38 goals for, 1 against; Paragominas at 1.5 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Urumajo slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Urumajo. Urumajo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Urumajo
17%
Draws
13%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Paragominas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Urumajo.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Urumajo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paraense A2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 19%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urumajo Paragominas
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
2:2
May 17, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
3:1
Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urumajo 67 / 100
Paragominas 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urumajo Paragominas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urumajo scored in 82% of their last 17 games.

Paragominas let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Urumajo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paragominas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Urumajo VS Paragominas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amazonia IFC42206:48
2Uniao Paraense41215:45
3ESMAC40223:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Urumajo42206:28
2Paragominas41214:45
3Pinheirense40224:82
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo PA430111:89
2Marajo41126:64
3Izabelense41125:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canaa42117:47
2Itupiranga42118:67
3Carajas41035:103