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US Boujaad vs USM Oujda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026
US Boujaad Logo

US Boujaad

2 - 2
FT
USM Oujda Logo

USM Oujda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between US Boujaad and USM Oujda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
US Boujaad
20%
Draws
40%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • USM Oujda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on US Boujaad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
US Boujaad Clean Sheet 68%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Boujaad USM Oujda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 14 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs US Boujaad
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Botola 2
US Boujaad vs USM Oujda
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Boujaad 68 / 100
USM Oujda 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Boujaad USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Boujaad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: USM Oujda conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

US Boujaad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

US Boujaad found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

US Boujaad VS USM Oujda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

US Boujaad

(Home)
03 Oct
Wydad Fes
3 : 0
US Boujaad
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0
Olympique de Safi
22 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
18 Jul
Rapide Oued Zem
0 : 1
US Boujaad
05 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 0
RAC Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

USM Oujda

(Away)
04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)