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US Castanet vs F.C. Onet Le Chateau

France France

Coupe de France 2020/2021
Sat, Feb 6, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Castanet play F.C. Onet Le Chateau in the Coupe de France 2020/2021. US Castanet are favorites here. Recently, US Castanet averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. F.C. Onet Le Chateau averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, US Castanet won 0, F.C. Onet Le Chateau won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for US Castanet and 0.75 for F.C. Onet Le Chateau. This points to a US Castanet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
US Castanet
25%
Draws
15%
F.C. Onet Le Chateau
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: US Castanet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • US Castanet picked up more points recently compared to F.C. Onet Le Chateau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
US Castanet Clean Sheet 27%
F.C. Onet Le Chateau Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Castanet F.C. Onet Le Chateau
Matches Played 2 5
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Coupe de France
US Castanet vs F.C. Onet Le Chateau
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Castanet 59 / 100
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Castanet F.C. Onet Le Chateau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Castanet Win (1)
Secondary Pick US Castanet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

US Castanet attacking → ← attacking F.C. Onet Le Chateau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Castanet scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

F.C. Onet Le Chateau let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

US Castanet went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

F.C. Onet Le Chateau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 3
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33