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US Goree vs ASC Jaraaf

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
US Goree Logo

US Goree

0 - 0
FT
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
US Goree
35%
Draws
39%
ASC Jaraaf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • ASC Jaraaf haven't matched US Goree's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
US Goree Clean Sheet 29%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Goree ASC Jaraaf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 15 14
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs US Goree
2:0
May 21, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs US Goree
0:1
Dec 23, 2024 Ligue 1
US Goree vs ASC Jaraaf
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs US Goree
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Goree 34 / 100
ASC Jaraaf 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Goree ASC Jaraaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: US Goree stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

US Goree scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

ASC Jaraaf has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

US Goree VS ASC Jaraaf
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

US Goree

(Home)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
Page 1 of 6

ASC Jaraaf

(Away)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)